Commentaire 6 – commentaires et rétroaction
Les documents ci-dessous sont affichés dans la langue officielle d'origine tels qu'ils ont été reçus.
Retour aux commentaires et rétroaction du public
Asher G. Honickman
Re: Canadian Constitution Foundation re Electoral Boundaries Submission
Our File No.: 99-414
I am writing further to my letter dated March 11, 2022, and your email dated August 19, 2022 enclosing the Proposal for the Federal Electoral Districts Redistribution (the "Proposal").
A. Overall Comments
Canadian Constitution Foundation ("CCF"), is very pleased overall with the Proposal. In my letter of March 11, the CCF submitted that the Commission should ensure the following:
- That the principle of equality of voting power is respected to the greatest extent possible.
- That where a variance is necessary, that variance should not exceed +/-10% of the provincial quota, save and except for truly exceptional circumstances, and
- That even in such exceptional circumstances, the variance should be minimized to the greatest extent possible.
By and large, the Proposal conforms with the CCF's submission. The proposed ridings ensure a much greater equality of voting power than the status quo provides, and most of the variances are under +/- 10% of the provincial quota.
The one major exception is of course the proposed riding of Kiiwetinoong-Mushkegowuk, which would have a variance of -68.84%. The Commission has determined this to be an exceptional circumstance justifying the extensive variance. In CCF's respectful view, further action can and should be taken in future years to determine whether this variance can be mitigated so as to ensure greater equality of voting power between the far north and the rest of the Province.
That being said, CCF wishes to stress that the Proposal is a major improvement over the status quo. It far better complies with the principle of equality of representation and is thus far more consistent with the right to vote under s.3 of the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms.
B. Results of Quantitative Analysis
We have taken the liberty of conducting a quantitative analysis of the proposed variances, as compared to the variances as they stood in 2012 (when the current boundaries were established) and as they currently stand today. This analysis is based on the values set out in the Proposal, and we have therefore relied on their accuracy. I am enclosing our quantitative analysis for the benefit of the Commission.
As you will see, we compared the deviation in the proposed ridings to the current ridings, both based on the 2012 and 2022 populations. We assessed the deviations using both mean and median as a measure.
The current ridings had a mean (average) variance of +/- 8.05% in 2012, and with population changes that mean variance increased to +/- 10.45% in 2022 (See Figure 1). By contrast, under the Proposal, Ontario's ridings would have a mean variance of just +/- 4.49% (see Figure 2). This is just over half (55.78%) of the 2012 mean variance andless than half (42.97%) of the 2022 mean variance.
As you know, a mean deviation can be misleading where there is a skewed distribution (meaning one or more figures are much larger or smaller than other figures). This is arguably the case here, notably with the proposed Kiiwetinoong-Mushkegowuk riding, which is far in excess of the other values in the set (the second highest deviation is Sault Ste. Marie at -16.55%). As such, a median (middle) analysis is arguably a more accurate assessment of the relative deviations.
Under the existing ridings, the median variance was +/- 6.02% in 2012 and is now +/- 8.38%. Under the Proposal, Ontario's ridings would have a median deviation of just +/- 3.05%. This is roughly half (50.66%) of the 2012 mediation deviation and 36.4% of the 2022 median variance. In other words, the median variance under the proposed ridings is even smaller relative to the current ridings than the mean deviation. The median variance under the Proposal is also low in absolute terms, indicating a strong overall equality of voting power.
Finally, we have compiled a list of all current ridings with a variance that exceeds +/- 10% (See Figure 3) and a list of the proposed ridings that would exceed +/- 10%. It is here that the Commission's proposed reforms are perhaps most visible. In 2012, there were 41 ridings with a variance that exceeded +/- 10%. As of 2022, that number had increased to 47. By contrast, there are only 7 such proposed ridings in the Proposal and all of them are in Northern Ontario. The urban southern Ontario offenders under the current system, most notably Niagara Falls and Niagara West, have all been remedied.
C. Oral submissions
I will be making oral submissions on behalf of CFF on September 29, 2022. Those submissions will be brief and will essentially summarize what is set out in this supplementary submission.
CCF wishes to thank the Commission for its hard work and dedication in improving the quality of our democracy.
Yours truly,
Asher G. Honickman
AGH/km
| Riding | Population (2011) | Deviation from Quota (2012) | Deviation from Quota (ABS; 2012) | Population (2021) | Deviation from Quota (2022) | Deviation from Quota (ABS; 2022) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 109,600 | 3.19% | 3.19% | 126,666 | 8.64% | 8.64% |
| Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing | 79,801 | -24.87% | 24.87% | 80,310 | -31.12% | 31.12% |
| Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill | 106,064 | -0.14% | 0.14% | 118,883 | 1.97% | 1.97% |
| Barrie—Innisfil | 101,584 | -4.36% | 4.36% | 120,378 | 3.25% | 3.25% |
| Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte | 97,876 | -7.85% | 7.85% | 106,871 | -8.34% | 8.34% |
| Bay of Quinte | 109,488 | 3.08% | 3.08% | 116,016 | -0.49% | 0.49% |
| Beaches—East York | 107,084 | 0.82% | 0.82% | 109,359 | -6.20% | 6.20% |
| Brampton Centre | 103,122 | -2.91% | 2.91% | 104,557 | -10.32% | 10.32% |
| Brampton East | 99,712 | -6.12% | 6.12% | 131,677 | 12.94% | 12.94% |
| Brampton North | 111,951 | 5.40% | 5.40% | 125,141 | 7.33% | 7.33% |
| Brampton South | 107,364 | 1.08% | 1.08% | 132,752 | 13.86% | 13.86% |
| Brampton West | 101,757 | -4.20% | 4.20% | 162,353 | 39.25% | 39.25% |
| Brantford—Brant | 132,443 | 24.69% | 24.69% | 140,139 | 20.20% | 20.20% |
| Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | 106,475 | 0.25% | 0.25% | 113,348 | -2.78% | 2.78% |
| Burlington | 120,569 | 13.52% | 13.52% | 125,435 | 7.59% | 7.59% |
| Cambridge | 111,693 | 5.16% | 5.16% | 121,301 | 4.04% | 4.04% |
| Carleton | 89,522 | -15.72% | 15.72% | 131,375 | 12.68% | 12.68% |
| Chatham-Kent—Leamington | 111,866 | 5.32% | 5.32% | 113,654 | -2.52% | 2.52% |
| Davenport | 102,360 | -3.63% | 3.63% | 105,946 | -9.13% | 9.13% |
| Don Valley East | 93,007 | -12.43% | 12.43% | 95,039 | -18.48% | 18.48% |
| Don Valley North | 103,073 | -2.96% | 2.96% | 113,663 | -2.51% | 2.51% |
| Don Valley West | 99,820 | -6.02% | 6.02% | 101,959 | -12.55% | 12.55% |
| Dufferin—Caledon | 116,341 | 9.53% | 9.53% | 142,838 | 22.51% | 22.51% |
| Durham | 115,395 | 8.64% | 8.64% | 150,235 | 28.86% | 28.86% |
| Eglinton—Lawrence | 113,150 | 6.53% | 6.53% | 115,832 | -0.65% | 0.65% |
| Elgin—Middlesex—London | 110,109 | 3.67% | 3.67% | 126,428 | 8.44% | 8.44% |
| Essex | 120,477 | 13.43% | 13.43% | 134,656 | 15.50% | 15.50% |
| Etobicoke Centre | 114,910 | 8.19% | 8.19% | 118,483 | 1.62% | 1.62% |
| Etobicoke—Lakeshore | 115,437 | 8.68% | 8.68% | 141,751 | 21.58% | 21.58% |
| Etobicoke North | 117,601 | 10.72% | 10.72% | 116,003 | 0.50% | 0.50% |
| Flamborough—Glanbrook | 97,081 | -8.60% | 8.60% | 125,692 | 7.81% | 7.81% |
| Glengarry—Prescott—Russell | 106,240 | 0.02% | 0.02% | 116,463 | -0.11% | 0.11% |
| Guelph | 121,688 | 14.57% | 14.57% | 143,740 | 23.29% | 23.29% |
| Haldimand—Norfolk | 108,501 | 1.73% | 1.73% | 116,706 | 0.10% | 0.10% |
| Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | 110,217 | 3.77% | 3.77% | 122,401 | 4.98% | 4.98% |
| Hamilton Centre | 101,932 | -4.03% | 4.03% | 106,439 | -8.71% | 8.71% |
| Hamilton East—Stoney Creek | 107,786 | 1.48% | 1.48% | 112,028 | -3.91% | 3.91% |
| Hamilton Mountain | 103,615 | -2.45% | 2.45% | 107,629 | -7.69% | 7.69% |
| Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas | 109,535 | 3.13% | 3.13% | 117,565 | 0.84% | 0.84% |
| Hastings—Lennox and Addington | 92,513 | -12.90% | 12.90% | 100,636 | -13.68% | 13.68% |
| Humber River—Black Creek | 108,198 | 1.87% | 1.87% | 111,593 | -4.29% | 4.29% |
| Huron—Bruce | 104,842 | -1.29% | 1.29% | 112,929 | -3.14% | 3.14% |
| Kanata—Carleton | 100,846 | -5.05% | 5.05% | 116,651 | 0.05% | 0.05% |
| Kenorafootnote 1 | 55,977 | -47.30% | 47.30% | 64,261 | -44.88% | 44.88% |
| Kingston and the Islands | 116,996 | 10.15% | 10.15% | 126,106 | 8.16% | 8.16% |
| King—Vaughan | 109,235 | 2.84% | 2.84% | 147,695 | 26.68% | 26.68% |
| Kitchener Centre | 102,433 | -3.56% | 3.56% | 113,452 | -2.69% | 2.69% |
| Kitchener—Conestoga | 93,827 | -11.66% | 11.66% | 107,134 | -8.11% | 8.11% |
| Kitchener South—Hespeler | 97,673 | -8.04% | 8.04% | 119,851 | 2.80% | 2.80% |
| Lambton—Kent—Middlesex | 105,919 | -0.28% | 0.28% | 111,242 | -4.59% | 4.59% |
| Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston | 98,424 | -7.33% | 7.33% | 111,424 | -4.43% | 4.43% |
| Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes | 99,306 | -6.50% | 6.50% | 104,070 | -10.74% | 10.74% |
| London—Fanshawe | 119,334 | 12.35% | 12.35% | 127,068 | 8.99% | 8.99% |
| London North Centre | 118,079 | 11.17% | 11.17% | 138,255 | 18.58% | 18.58% |
| London West | 119,090 | 12.12% | 12.12% | 139,305 | 19.48% | 19.48% |
| Markham—Stouffville | 109,780 | 3.36% | 3.36% | 135,944 | 16.60% | 16.60% |
| Markham—Thornhill | 102,211 | -3.76% | 3.76% | 97,510 | -16.37% | 16.37% |
| Markham—Unionville | 104,693 | -1.43% | 1.43% | 128,308 | 10.05% | 10.05% |
| Milton | 88,065 | -17.09% | 17.09% | 136,993 | 17.50% | 17.50% |
| Mississauga Centre | 118,756 | 11.81% | 11.81% | 127,377 | 9.25% | 9.25% |
| Mississauga East—Cooksville | 121,792 | 14.67% | 14.67% | 116,346 | -0.21% | 0.21% |
| Mississauga—Erin Mills | 117,199 | 10.34% | 10.34% | 123,371 | 5.82% | 5.82% |
| Mississauga—Lakeshore | 118,893 | 11.94% | 11.94% | 117,095 | 0.43% | 0.43% |
| Mississauga—Malton | 118,046 | 11.14% | 11.14% | 116,908 | 0.27% | 0.27% |
| Mississauga—Streetsville | 118,757 | 11.81% | 11.81% | 116,864 | 0.24% | 0.24% |
| Nepean | 104,775 | -1.35% | 1.35% | 132,769 | 13.88% | 13.88% |
| Newmarket—Aurora | 109,457 | 3.05% | 3.05% | 127,134 | 9.04% | 9.04% |
| Niagara Centre | 105,860 | -0.33% | 0.33% | 119,809 | 2.76% | 2.76% |
| Niagara Falls | 128,357 | 20.85% | 20.85% | 146,404 | 25.57% | 25.57% |
| Niagara West | 86,533 | -18.53% | 18.53% | 96,946 | -16.85% | 16.85% |
| Nickel Belt | 90,962 | -14.36% | 14.36% | 94,947 | -18.56% | 18.56% |
| Nipissing—Timiskaming | 90,996 | -14.33% | 14.33% | 89,781 | -22.99% | 22.99% |
| Northumberland—Peterborough South | 107,840 | 1.53% | 1.53% | 118,756 | 1.86% | 1.86% |
| Oakville | 119,649 | 12.65% | 12.65% | 122,322 | 4.92% | 4.92% |
| Oakville North—Burlington | 114,378 | 7.69% | 7.69% | 148,936 | 27.74% | 27.74% |
| Orléans | 119,247 | 12.27% | 12.27% | 139,309 | 19.49% | 19.49% |
| Oshawa | 125,771 | 18.41% | 18.41% | 131,067 | 12.42% | 12.42% |
| Ottawa Centre | 113,619 | 6.97% | 6.97% | 126,360 | 8.38% | 8.38% |
| Ottawa South | 121,894 | 14.76% | 14.76% | 125,090 | 7.29% | 7.29% |
| Ottawa—Vanier | 110,999 | 4.51% | 4.51% | 118,806 | 1.90% | 1.90% |
| Ottawa West—Nepean | 111,881 | 5.34% | 5.34% | 116,409 | -0.16% | 0.16% |
| Oxford | 108,656 | 2.30% | 2.30% | 124,790 | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Parkdale—High Park | 105,103 | -1.05% | 1.05% | 106,750 | -8.44% | 8.44% |
| Parry Sound—Muskoka | 91,233 | -14.10% | 14.10% | 104,494 | -10.37% | 10.37% |
| Perth—Wellington | 104,912 | -1.23% | 1.23% | 113,910 | -2.30% | 2.30% |
| Peterborough—Kawartha | 115,264 | 8.52% | 8.52% | 125,478 | 7.62% | 7.62% |
| Pickering—Uxbridge | 109,344 | 2.95% | 2.95% | 120,742 | 3.56% | 3.56% |
| Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke | 102,537 | -3.46% | 3.46% | 107,420 | -7.87% | 7.87% |
| Richmond Hill | 108,658 | 2.30% | 2.30% | 114,180 | -2.07% | 2.07% |
| St. Catharines | 110,596 | 4.13% | 4.13% | 114,782 | -1.55% | 1.55% |
| Sarnia—Lambton | 106,293 | 0.07% | 0.07% | 107,077 | -8.16% | 8.16% |
| Sault Ste. Marie | 82,052 | -22.75% | 22.75% | 79,331 | -31.96% | 31.96% |
| Scarborough—Agincourt | 104,499 | -1.61% | 1.61% | 104,423 | -10.44% | 10.44% |
| Scarborough Centre | 108,826 | 2.46% | 2.46% | 113,104 | -2.99% | 2.99% |
| Scarborough—Guildwood | 101,914 | -4.05% | 4.05% | 103,449 | -11.27% | 11.27% |
| Scarborough North | 101,080 | -4.83% | 4.83% | 94,717 | -18.76% | 18.76% |
| Scarborough—Rouge Park | 102,646 | -3.36% | 3.36% | 102,254 | -12.30% | 12.30% |
| Scarborough Southwest | 106,733 | 0.49% | 0.49% | 111,994 | -3.94% | 3.94% |
| Simcoe—Grey | 116,307 | 9.50% | 9.50% | 151,784 | 30.19% | 30.19% |
| Simcoe North | 108,672 | 2.31% | 2.31% | 120,656 | 3.49% | 3.49% |
| Spadina—Fort York | 82,480 | -22.35% | 22.35% | 136,213 | 16.83% | 16.83% |
| Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry | 100,913 | -4.99% | 4.99% | 104,493 | -10.38% | 10.38% |
| Sudbury | 92,048 | -13.34% | 13.34% | 95,537 | -18.06% | 18.06% |
| Thornhill | 110,427 | 3.97% | 3.97% | 115,292 | -1.11% | 1.11% |
| Thunder Bay—Rainy River | 82,984 | -21.87% | 21.87% | 82,357 | -29.36% | 29.36% |
| Thunder Bay—Superior North | 82,827 | -22.02% | 22.02% | 83,325 | -28.53% | 28.53% |
| Timmins—James Bay | 83,104 | -21.76% | 21.76% | 80,785 | -30.71% | 30.71% |
| Toronto Centre | 93,971 | -11.53% | 11.53% | 119,901 | 2.84% | 2.84% |
| Toronto—Danforth | 104,017 | -2.07% | 2.07% | 105,472 | -9.54% | 9.54% |
| Toronto—St. Paul's | 103,983 | -2.10% | 2.10% | 116,953 | 0.31% | 0.31% |
| University—Rosedale | 98,605 | -7.16% | 7.16% | 106,216 | -8.90% | 8.90% |
| Vaughan—Woodbridge | 105,450 | -0.72% | 0.72% | 106,810 | -8.39% | 8.39% |
| Waterloo | 103,192 | 2.85% | 2.85% | 127,235 | 9.13% | 9.13% |
| Wellington—Halton Hills | 115,885 | 9.11% | 9.11% | 127,873 | 9.68% | 9.68% |
| Whitby | 122,022 | 14.88% | 14.88% | 138,501 | 18.79% | 18.79% |
| Willowdale | 109,680 | 3.26% | 3.26% | 118,218 | 1.40% | 1.40% |
| Windsor—Tecumseh | 115,528 | 8.77% | 8.77% | 122,798 | 5.32% | 5.32% |
| Windsor West | 118,937 | 12.01% | 12.01% | 130,162 | 11.64% | 11.64% |
| York Centre | 100,277 | -5.59% | 5.59% | 108,307 | -7.10% | 7.10% |
| York—Simcoe | 94,616 | -10.92% | 10.92% | 124,458 | 6.75% | 6.75% |
| York South—Weston | 116,606 | 9.78% | 9.78% | 116,757 | 0.14% | 0.14% |
| Deviation from Quota (ABS; 2012) | Deviation from Quota (ABS; 2022) | |
|---|---|---|
| Total Absolute Value | 974.10% | 1264.35% |
| Mean Absolute Value | 8.05% | 10.45% |
| Median | 6.02% | 8.38% |
| Riding | Population (2021) | Deviation from Quota (2022) | Deviation from Quota (ABS; 2022) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax | 126,666 | 8.64% | 8.64% |
| Algonquin—Renfrew—Pembroke | 116,900 | 0.27% | 0.27% |
| Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill | 114,676 | -1.64% | 1.64% |
| Barrie—Innisfil | 120,378 | 3.25% | 3.25% |
| Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte | 115,495 | -0.94% | 0.94% |
| Bay of Quinte | 116,016 | -0.49% | 0.49% |
| Bayview—Finch | 110,908 | -4.87% | 4.87% |
| Black Creek | 117,740 | 0.99% | 0.99% |
| Bowmanville—Oshawa North | 123,036 | 5.53% | 5.53% |
| Brampton Centre | 114,422 | -1.86% | 1.86% |
| Brampton—Chinguacousy | 113,201 | -2.91% | 2.91% |
| Brampton—Mayfield West | 112,994 | -3.08% | 3.08% |
| Brampton North | 112,082 | -3.87% | 3.87% |
| Brampton Southeast | 114,952 | -1.40% | 1.40% |
| Brampton Southwest | 110,855 | -4.92% | 4.92% |
| Brantford | 118,167 | 1.35% | 1.35% |
| Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | 118,588 | 1.71% | 1.71% |
| Burlington Lakeshore | 116,984 | 0.34% | 0.34% |
| Burlington—Milton West | 114,218 | -2.03% | 2.03% |
| Cambridge | 122,099 | 4.73% | 4.73% |
| Carleton | 119,737 | 2.70% | 2.70% |
| Chatham-Kent—Leamington—Kingsville | 128,045 | 9.83% | 9.83% |
| Cochrane—Timmins—Timiskaming | 107,092 | -8.15% | 8.15% |
| Collingwood—Blue Mountains | 116,511 | -0.07% | 0.07% |
| Davenport | 116,728 | 0.12% | 0.12% |
| Don Valley East | 115,456 | -0.97% | 0.97% |
| Don Valley North | 113,537 | -2.62% | 2.62% |
| Don Valley West | 114,229 | -2.03% | 2.03% |
| Dufferin—Caledon | 119,767 | 2.72% | 2.72% |
| Eglinton—Lawrence | 116,139 | -0.39% | 0.39% |
| Elgin—Middlesex—Thames | 117,082 | 0.42% | 0.42% |
| Essex | 120,132 | 3.04% | 3.04% |
| Etobicoke Centre | 120,157 | 3.06% | 3.06% |
| Etobicoke Lakeshore | 114,714 | -1.61% | 1.61% |
| Etobicoke North | 121,107 | 3.87% | 3.87% |
| Flamborough—Glanbrook | 114,701 | -1.62% | 1.62% |
| Gananoque—Brockville—Prescott | 113,266 | -2.85% | 2.85% |
| Georgetown—Milton East | 118,559 | 1.69% | 1.69% |
| Guelph | 118,686 | 1.80% | 1.80% |
| Haldimand—Norfolk—Six Nations | 122,813 | 5.34% | 5.34% |
| Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock | 120,254 | 3.14% | 3.14% |
| Hamilton Centre | 123,520 | 5.94% | 5.94% |
| Hamilton Mountain | 115,634 | -0.82% | 0.82% |
| Hamilton—Stoney Creek—Grimsby Lakeshore | 121,709 | 4.39% | 4.39% |
| Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas | 120,551 | 3.40% | 3.40% |
| Hastings—Lennox and Addington—Tyendinaga | 111,331 | -4.51% | 4.51% |
| Humber | 122,220 | 4.83% | 4.83% |
| Kanata | 121,458 | 4.18% | 4.18% |
| Kenora—Thunder Bay—Rainy River | 101,097 | -13.29% | 13.29% |
| Kiiwetinoong—Mushkegowukfootnote 1 | 36,325 | -68.84% | 68.84% |
| King—Vaughan | 116,118 | -0.40% | 0.40% |
| Kingston and the Islands | 126,106 | 8.16% | 8.16% |
| Kitchener Centre | 114,595 | -1.71% | 1.71% |
| Kitchener—Conestoga | 114,856 | -1.49% | 1.49% |
| Kitchener South—North Dumfries | 114,179 | -2.07% | 2.07% |
| Lake Simcoe—Uxbridgefootnote 2 | 118,867 | 1.95% | 1.95% |
| Lanark—Frontenac | 109,784 | -5.84% | 5.84% |
| London Centre | 123,531 | 5.95% | 5.95% |
| London Northeast | 123,241 | 5.70% | 5.70% |
| London South—St. Thomas | 120,208 | 3.10% | 3.10% |
| London West | 121,199 | 3.95% | 3.95% |
| Manitoulin—Nickel Belt | 99,268 | -14.86% | 14.86% |
| Markham—Stouffville | 121,176 | 3.93% | 3.93% |
| Markham—Thornhill | 123,400 | 5.84% | 5.84% |
| Markham—Unionville | 122,401 | 4.98% | 4.98% |
| Mississauga Centre | 119,975 | 2.90% | 2.90% |
| Mississauga East—Cooksville | 120,196 | 3.09% | 3.09% |
| Mississauga—Erin Mills | 119,526 | 2.52% | 2.52% |
| Mississauga Lakeshore | 119,936 | 2.87% | 2.87% |
| Mississauga—Malton | 119,741 | 2.70% | 2.70% |
| Mississauga—Meadowvale | 118,587 | 1.71% | 1.71% |
| Nepean | 122,229 | 4.84% | 4.84% |
| New Tecumseth—Bradford | 118,958 | 2.03% | 2.03% |
| Newmarket—Aurora | 118,666 | 1.78% | 1.78% |
| Niagara Falls | 113,503 | -2.65% | 2.65% |
| Niagara South | 112,928 | -3.14% | 3.14% |
| Niagara West | 118,158 | 1.34% | 1.34% |
| Nipissing | 99,149 | -14.96% | 14.96% |
| Northumberland | 114,335 | -1.93% | 1.93% |
| Oakville Lakeshore | 114,917 | -1.43% | 1.43% |
| Oakville North | 113,574 | -2.59% | 2.59% |
| Orléans | 126,662 | 8.64% | 8.64% |
| Oshawa | 126,499 | 8.50% | 8.50% |
| Ottawa Centre | 118,950 | 2.02% | 2.02% |
| Ottawa South | 125,075 | 7.28% | 7.28% |
| Ottawa—Vanier | 127,255 | 9.15% | 9.15% |
| Ottawa West—Nepean | 123,533 | 5.96% | 5.96% |
| Oxford—Brant | 124,844 | 7.08% | 7.08% |
| Parry Sound—Muskoka | 102,255 | -12.30% | 12.30% |
| Penetanguishene—Couchiching | 112,022 | -3.92% | 3.92% |
| Perth—Wellington | 117,974 | 1.19% | 1.19% |
| Peterborough | 121,336 | 4.07% | 4.07% |
| Pickering—Brooklin | 122,430 | 5.01% | 5.01% |
| Prescott—Russell | 111,163 | -4.65% | 4.65% |
| Richmond Hill South | 118,679 | 1.79% | 1.79% |
| Sarnia—Lambton—Bkejwanong | 127,200 | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Sault Ste. Marie | 97,299 | -16.55% | 16.55% |
| Scarborough Centre | 115,260 | -1.14% | 1.14% |
| Scarborough—Guildwood | 118,754 | 1.86% | 1.86% |
| Scarborough Northwest | 109,568 | -6.02% | 6.02% |
| Scarborough—Rouge Park | 111,713 | -4.18% | 4.18% |
| Scarborough Southwest | 121,947 | 4.59% | 4.59% |
| South Huron Shores | 118,316 | 1.48% | 1.48% |
| Spadina—Harbourfront | 119,497 | 2.49% | 2.49% |
| St. Catharines | 119,873 | 2.82% | 2.82% |
| St. Clair—Mount Pleasant | 119,935 | 2.87% | 2.87% |
| Stormont—Dundas—Glengarry | 114,637 | -1.68% | 1.68% |
| Sudbury | 113,618 | -2.55% | 2.55% |
| Taiaiako'n—High Park | 119,935 | 2.87% | 2.87% |
| The Beaches—East York | 111,805 | -4.10% | 4.10% |
| Thunder Bay—Superior North | 99,035 | -15.06% | 15.06% |
| Toronto Centre | 121,703 | 4.39% | 4.39% |
| Toronto—Danforth | 112,119 | -3.83% | 3.83% |
| University—Rosedale | 117,119 | 0.45% | 0.45% |
| Vaughan—Thornhill | 119,771 | 2.73% | 2.73% |
| Vaughan—Woodbridge | 115,957 | -0.54% | 0.54% |
| Waterloo | 121,436 | 4.16% | 4.16% |
| Wellington—Halton | 111,155 | -4.66% | 4.66% |
| Whitby | 120,078 | 2.99% | 2.99% |
| Windsor—Tecumseh | 122,533 | 5.10% | 5.10% |
| Windsor West | 126,695 | 8.67% | 8.67% |
| York Centre | 112,580 | -3.44% | 3.44% |
| Deviation from Quota (ABS; 2022) | |
|---|---|
| Total Absolute Value | 547.35% |
| Mean Absolute Value | 4.49% |
| Median | 3.05% |
| Riding | Deviation from Quota (2012; Existing Boundaries) |
|---|---|
| Kenorafootnote 1 | -47.30% |
| Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing | -24.87% |
| Sault Ste. Marie | -22.75% |
| Spadina—Fort York | -22.35% |
| Thunder Bay—Superior North | -22.02% |
| Thunder Bay—Rainy River | -21.87% |
| Timmins—James Bay | -21.76% |
| Niagara West | -18.53% |
| Milton | -17.09% |
| Carleton | -15.72% |
| Nickel Belt | -14.36% |
| Nipissing—Timiskaming | -14.33% |
| Parry Sound—Muskoka | -14.10% |
| Sudbury | -13.34% |
| Hastings—Lennox and Addington | -12.90% |
| Don Valley East | -12.43% |
| Kitchener—Conestoga | -11.66% |
| Toronto Centre | -11.53% |
| York—Simcoe | -10.92% |
| Kingston and the Islands | 10.15% |
| Mississauga—Erin Mills | 10.34% |
| Etobicoke North | 10.72% |
| Mississauga—Malton | 11.14% |
| London North Centre | 11.17% |
| Mississauga Centre | 11.81% |
| Mississauga—Streetsville | 11.81% |
| Mississauga—Lakeshore | 11.94% |
| Windsor West | 12.01% |
| London West | 12.12% |
| Orléans | 12.27% |
| London—Fanshawe | 12.35% |
| Oakville | 12.65% |
| Essex | 13.43% |
| Burlington | 13.52% |
| Guelph | 14.57% |
| Mississauga East—Cooksville | 14.67% |
| Ottawa South | 14.76% |
| Whitby | 14.88% |
| Oshawa | 18.41% |
| Niagara Falls | 20.85% |
| Brantford—Brant | 24.69% |
| Kenorafootnote 1 | -44.88% |
| Sault Ste. Marie | -31.96% |
| Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing | -31.12% |
| Timmins—James Bay | -30.71% |
| Thunder Bay—Rainy River | -29.36% |
| Thunder Bay—Superior North | -28.53% |
| Nipissing—Timiskaming | -22.99% |
| Scarborough North | -18.76% |
| Nickel Belt | -18.56% |
| Don Valley East | -18.48% |
| Sudbury | -18.06% |
| Niagara West | -16.85% |
| Markham—Thornhill | -16.37% |
| Hastings—Lennox and Addington | -13.68% |
| Don Valley West | -12.55% |
| Scarborough—Rouge Park | -12.30% |
| Scarborough—Guildwood | -11.27% |
| Leeds-Grenville-Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes | -10.74% |
| Scarborough—Agincourt | -10.44% |
| Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry | -10.38% |
| Parry Sound—Muskoka | -10.37% |
| Brampton Centre | -10.32% |
| Markham—Unionville | 10.05% |
| Windsor West | 11.64% |
| Oshawa | 12.42% |
| Carleton | 12.68% |
| Brampton East | 12.94% |
| Brampton South | 13.86% |
| Nepean | 13.88% |
| Essex | 15.50% |
| Markham—Stouffville | 16.60% |
| Spadina—Fort York | 16.83% |
| Milton | 17.50% |
| London North Centre | 18.58% |
| Whitby | 18.79% |
| London West | 19.48% |
| Orléans | 19.49% |
| Brantford—Brant | 20.20% |
| Etobicoke—Lakeshore | 21.58% |
| Dufferin—Caledon | 22.51% |
| Guelph | 23.29% |
| Niagara Falls | 25.57% |
| King—Vaughan | 26.68% |
| Oakville North—Burlington | 27.74% |
| Durham | 28.86% |
| Simcoe—Grey | 30.19% |
| Brampton West | 39.25% |
| Riding | Deviation from Quota (2022; Proposed Boundaries) |
|---|---|
| Kiiwetinoong—Mushkegowukfootnote 1 | -68.84% |
| Sault Ste. Marie | -16.55% |
| Thunder Bay—Superior North | -15.06% |
| Nipissing | -14.96% |
| Manitoulin—Nickel Belt | -14.86% |
| Kenora—Thunder Bay—Rainy River | -13.29% |
| Parry Sound—Muskoka | -12.30% |
Footnotes
Return to footnote 1 Exceptional circumstance.
Return to footnote 2 New Riding.